For over fifty years, agricultural production of bananas and coconuts has been the mainstay of the Dominican economy. Agricultural crops accounted for close to 20% of GDP at factor cost in current prices in 1991 while estimates show the hotel and restaurant sector accounting for barely 2% of GDP that same year. Data from 1986 – 1993 show agricultural crop production as the single largest contributor to GDP. From 1993 – 1997 Government Services registered a higher percentage contribution than agricultural crops. Over the ten year period 1988 – 1998, banana production declined from a high of 76,872 tons to 28,602 tons, resulting in a serious decline in the volume of exports, loss of income to a large part of the population and a decline in foreign exchange revenue to the country. Export revenue from bananas amounted to EC$37.6m in 1998. In 1993 there were 5,779 active farmers in the industry but uncertainty surrounding the future of the banana industry had caused the number of active farmers to decline to 2,993 in 1998.
By contrast, tourist arrivals have grown from around 30,000 per annum in the mid 80’s to 73,506 in 1999. The cruise sector has shown more phenomenal growth from about 6,777 passengers in 1990 to 244,603 passengers in 1998, dipping to 202,003 passengers in 1999 (see accompanying figure). It is estimated that tourist expenditure amounted to EC$122.5 m. in 1997 and EC$131.7 m. in 1999. Government revenue from tourism is estimated at about 27% of total tourist expenditure, i.e. EC$ 35 m. in 1999. Tourism’s contribution to GDP is now estimated to be in the region of 10 – 12% taking into consideration the tourist industry that is more than just hotels and restaurants.
It is clear that as the fortunes of the banana industry have waned over the years, those of the tourist industry have been on the rise. Notwithstanding this, it is important to look more critically at the structure and performance of the tourist industry over the past few years to determine if this trend can hold and under what circumstances. Otherwise, Dominica can find itself faced with double trouble in a short space of time.
Dominica has become known as the Nature Island of the Caribbean. It does not have the beaches that other Caribbean islands are known for, therefore it was a late entrant to the highly developed Caribbean tourism business. The sharp growth of nature tourism and eco tourism worldwide over the past decade helped to establish Dominica in the tourism business. Dominica’s tourist attractions are largely nature based and consist of towering mountains, majestic scenery, waterfalls, the largest boiling lake in the world, bird watching, hiking trails, national parks one of which is a World Heritage site, spectacular diving, (rated by Skin Diver magazine as one of the top ten places for diving world wide and one of the top five in the Caribbean for the quality of its reefs), whale watching and the increasingly popular event attraction of the World Creole Music Festival. The island is also home to the descendants of the original Caribs who gave the Caribbean its name.
Tourist infrastructure consists of two airports, the larger of which can accommodate aircraft of a limited size (65 passenger seat capacity). Neither airport has night landing facilities. Dominica’s rugged terrain, part of its unique charm and natural attraction has made airport construction extremely costly and difficult. The island has three deepwater berths, two specifically for cruise ships and the other for containerized cargo.
Tourist accommodation consists of 560 rooms in 19 hotels, 213 rooms in 24 guesthouses and 91 rooms in 21 apartments/cottages. Approximately half of these rooms are regarded as being below international standard. There are a few restaurants of international standard outside of hotels, limited duty free and other shopping and a number of ground tour operators, taxis and car rental companies.
Public sector management of tourism is effected through the Ministry of Tourism and the Division of Tourism of the National Development Corporation. The private sector is somewhat more organized than it was two years ago, but a high level of cohesiveness among the different elements of the industry is not yet observed.
It is important to look beneath the surface to get an understanding of the dynamics of the tourist industry in Dominica. If our only indicators of the performance of the tourist industry were the numbers of tourist arrivals and cruise passenger arrivals referred to earlier, we would get the wrong picture. Over the last few years, the number of cruise passengers leaving the ship to visit Dominica has declined from about 90% to about 70%. About 45% of these now go on organized tours. While some passengers walk about the city on their own (without the benefit of an organized tour) lack of a comfortable pedestrian environment together with insufficient up to standard restaurants and shopping opportunities severely limit the experience of Dominica open to these passengers. Lack of a more organized and attractive environment for vending of craft items and tours that are not pre-sold have led to some harassment of visitors and a less than satisfactory first impression of the destination. The effect of this is a weakening of the base of potential repeat visitors.
Preliminary data for January – June 2000 indicates that Dominica received 33,801 tourists (stay over visitors) compared to 33,725 for the corresponding period in the previous year. In 1999, Dominica’s largest growth by market was from the Caribbean. This market showed a 16.5% growth over 1998. The Caribbean market (42,641 tourists in 1999) accounted for over 50% of tourist arrivals into Dominica, a situation that is different from most other Caribbean destinations. This has been the case from as far back as 1990. Just under half of the Caribbean market comes from the French West Indies. Figure 2 shows tourist arrivals into Dominica by main markets for 1998 and 1999.
Between 1995 and 1999 the number of tourists using hotels and other paid accommodation has steadily declined from under 50% of arrivals in 1995 to under 40% in 1999. At the same time, the number using private accommodation has risen to 55% of all arrivals. Hotels alone segregated from other paid accommodation have seen a decline from 25% of tourist arrivals using their facilities in 1995 to 17% in 1999. Annual average hotel occupancy is below 50% with the figure dropping as low as 20% for some properties. Only 16% of the Caribbean market stayed in hotels in 1999 with another 11% staying in Guest Houses and as stated earlier this has been the single largest market for Dominica for some time now. Figure 3 shows tourist arrivals by place of stay for the years 1995-1999.
There clearly is a correlation between the pattern of use of tourist accommodation and the type of tourist visiting Dominica. The correlation can also be extended to the marketing philosophy the country has had over the past five years and the various images that it is trying to project. So while the overall numbers may be up, the hotel industry is not necessarily doing well. A recent survey (Sept. 2000) of the tourist industry private sector here indicated that 86% of respondents regarded the current year as mediocre to bad for business (41% mediocre and 45% bad) while 77% regarded the last two years as mediocre to bad for business (54% mediocre, 23% bad). The survey covered a wider cross section of the industry than hotels.
The above gives us a truer picture of the health of the tourist industry than we can get from a look at total tourist arrivals and cruise passenger arrivals. In view of the severe problems facing the banana industry and the increasing expectations held for tourism sector performance, the true picture is highly relevant. While many persons in the tourist industry are self-employed, e.g. taxi drivers, there can be no doubt about the potential of the hotel and restaurant sector to generate employment and create income both directly and indirectly. While the hotel industry may be able to ride out two years that are bad for business, it cannot withstand much more and its success or failure will have very serious reverberations in the economy.
It is clear that a number of properties in the accommodation sector have been built without appropriate physical development plans and without the benefit of market research and/or a truly marketable concept. The question is does it matter now whose fault it was, whether it was Government’s or the entrepreneur’s? Both will eventually feel the effects of inadequate and inappropriate planning and what is at stake is more than the traditional public/private sector debate. The tourist industry is neither public sector nor private sector exclusively and each is highly dependent on the other for successful performance.
The time for critical analysis and remedial action in Dominica’s tourism sector is now. Let us examine some aspects that are essential if the tourism sector is to have a firm foundation for success. These can be divided into public sector initiatives and private sector initiatives.
Operators of tourism facilities and services may consider the following initiatives:
The difficulty facing the banana industry in Dominica has shifted the spotlight on to the tourist industry. There are expectations for the industry to play a much greater role in economic development. If these hopes are to be realized, concerted action must be taken now to build a structurally sound industry that can gain a reputation internationally for an outstanding product with unparalleled service. These are the ultimate goals to be achieved. They must be kept in mind constantly, because this is an industry in which competition is so keen that we can be easily overtaken in the race. While we remain indecisive and unprepared to take actions that we know should be taken, others are moving ahead with the right strategies. Government should as soon as possible carry out a review of the total tourist industry identifying areas for urgent attention. Remedial or preventive action should be taken by a specific time rather than just noted somewhere!
The private sector in Dominica’s tourism has often proudly stated that it is homegrown and that the level of foreign investment seen in other Caribbean islands does not obtain here. That may be fine, but the reality is that being homegrown will not cut it on the international market and it will not by itself sell the product. What is essential to this equation is the addition of impeccable standards and service with a unique flair and style. More creativity and effort have to be put into private sector operations. Dialog, discussion among private sector entities and a willingness to work together with Government on all fronts for the improvement of every aspect of the industry will be essential.
The initiatives advanced in this paper do not necessarily involve huge financial outlays for an already overburdened and under-financed tourism sector. Yet they are all essential in the context of the tourist industry today, and they will continue to be essential if the tourism sector is to contribute meaningfully to Dominica’s development.
URL http://www.uwichill.edu.bb/bnccde/dominica/conference/papers/Bellot.html
© Maria Bellot, 2001. HTML prepared using 1st Page 2000, revised February 10th, 2001.