INTRODUCTION

You are being asked to work through this booklet as part of a course in the philosophy of education, itself part of your course in education. Why? In the first place, I hope it will be useful for you, not just in coping with your education courses, but also more widely in your everyday life. In the second place, it is, I think, a reasonable, if somewhat unusual, component of a course in the philosophy of education, especially when you won't be getting any other kind of input from philosophy.

The word "philosophy" may well suggest something abstruse and unpractical, and indeed a lot that goes on in philosophy is pretty obscure and practically useless, but not perhaps everything. On the one hand, there is the original motive for doing philosophy - a drive for a general understanding of the world and our place in it and for a reasoned view of what that world ought to be like; on the other, there are the more detailed studies philosophers have undertaken of the nature of knowledge and of the workings, and especially the logical structure, of meaningful language (which is the medium in which much of our knowledge gets expressed). These two aspects of philosophy can, I believe, offer us something of value. The original motive can spill over into education - we can try to see more clearly what we are doing and what we should be trying to achieve - and I hope that it will in the other part of your philosophy of education course. But for now we are going to try to learn from the narrower studies of knowledge, language, and logic.

We are going to start by looking at some simple features of the sort of argument in which someone offers you reasons for believing something or for doing something. We shall go on to dig a little deeper and so see the different things that are happening - the idea being that if you begin to see how arguments work you should be better able to judge them and perhaps better able to construct them yourself. People often try to justify the study of mathematics or Latin or history by saying that they will help you to reason better. There is evidence that studying history helps you to reason better about history, studying mathematics helps you to reason better about mathematics, but that studying these subjects does little for your reasoning outside of the subject, in everyday life or in other subjects. In this course we shall take the bull by the horns and simply study reasoning. Reasoning has to be about something, but I hope you won't be distracted by the subject-matter from the general points being made. (On the other hand, I hope you will find some of the subject-matter interesting; I have tried to avoid invented examples as much as possible, because the aim is for you to deal better with real examples.)

After looking briefly at arguments, we shall look at a few of the things that can go wrong with the statements that make them up. We shall then look at some of the general aims people have in putting forward an argument, in offering reasons. As before, the idea is that if you know what to look out for and can draw some subtle distinctions you are better placed to detect flaws in arguments, your own and other people's.

In this course you are only taking the very first steps towards the study of argument and into the issues that arise in that study - first steps are, however, among the most important. At the end I indicate a few of the further issues that arise and suggest a few of the many books you might use to travel further.

As you will soon discover, there are frequent exercises throughout the text. I suspect you won't learn very much from reading the text unless you also try to do these exercises. I have given my answers, with some supporting remarks, at the end [in this Web version, in pop-up boxes which are also endnotes to each file for those unable to use the pop-up windows]; but please try to do the exercises for yourself first and then try to work out why my answer is different (if it is). I should say now that there is often room for alternative answers. I should be glad to know of any such alternatives, and also of any errors or gross inadequacies in my own suggestions.

I have tried as much as I can to use arguments actually put forward by other people. Such arguments are followed by a number in square brackets and the source can be found by looking up the number in the list of sources at the back.

1. PRELIMINARIES

Some arguments simply consist of people shouting at each other, war pursued by other means; but these are not our concern. We shall be looking at arguments in which someone offers reasons for what she claims. Indeed it might be better to say that we are concerned with reasoning, since we very often offer reasons without pretending to be arguing a point. Consider the following remark:

(1) By the look of those clouds, it'll rain today.

If I said that to you, it is hardly natural to say that I have argued for the conclusion that it will rain today; I have indicated a reason for believing that conclusion true, but we wouldn't normally call my remark an argument. But still, we could make a few changes to transform it into what is obviously an argument for the conclusion. Perhaps we could rewrite it thus:

(2) Those clouds are very dark and heavy, so it is likely that it will rain today.

That is not so natural (nor, perhaps, so persuasive) but it makes explicit what was going on in the first remark; we could say that it is an explicit argument corresponding to remark (1). What is important for us is to see, on the surface of (2) but hidden within (1), a movement from reasons to a conclusion. Whenever we can find such a movement I shall say that we have an argument.

In our example what is at stake is a fact, that it will rain at a certain place and time; since it is a fact in the future we would normally call it a prediction, but people argue for factual claims of all sorts and that is all I am concerned with now. But besides offering reasons for believing that something is, was, or will be so, people also argue for what we can call practical conclusions; they offer you reasons for doing one thing rather than another. "They will have to raise taxes, but we won't, so vote for us!" Here the speaker is trying to get you to vote for her; she might have said "so you ought to vote for us" or "so you should vote for us", but however she expresses herself you can see again the movement we have noted above from reasons (here possibly dubious claims about different parties' future decisions about taxes) to a conclusion.

So then, an argument involves three things: reasons for something, the something itself, and the movement from the reasons to the something. In my first example, the clouds being dark and menacing; the rain I predict; and the movement I want you to make from the first to the second, from the clouds to the rain. Let us agree on some terminology. When we have an explicit argument, we shall be able to distinguish on the one hand one or more premises (some people spell this "premisses") and on the other, one or more conclusions (for convenience we shall usually assume there is only one conclusion to each argument), and we shall say that the premises are intended to support the conclusions.

It is worth noting explicitly that not every connected discourse involves reasoning. A description of something or some event may involve a lot of statements connected together in various ways, but it won't usually involve some of those statements supporting others in the way we are concerned with. Similarly a typical narrative will contain many statements, often with very close connections between them, but while in a narrative the earlier statements may make the later ones intelligible, they won't usually be giving them the sort of argumentative support we are focussing on. Very roughly, a narrative may help you see that the events described by certain claims are intelligible, an argument will give you reasons for thinking those claims to be true or acceptable.

If you read an explicit argument, or listen to one, the premises and the conclusion will be statements, the support will be mainly between the statements, as one might say; it will be indicated as much by how the statements are strung together as by anything else. We shall come back soon to the claim that the premises and the conclusion are statements; for the time being you can regard it as one of our attempts at simplifying our subject-matter. The premises will express the reasons that are being offered for the conclusion. The premises are the starting-points for this argument; the arguer simply asserts them or takes them for granted, in this argument. (Indeed, they may be so taken for granted that they are not actually expressed - we shall come back also to this point later on.) She might argue for them elsewhere, but we must take things one step, one argument, at a time. The conclusion is what the arguer is getting at, what she is trying to prove or establish or defend. And the arguer claims that the premises do support the conclusion, that the conclusion follows from them or is in some other way supported or made more likely by them.

Let us see if we can pick out premises and conclusions from a couple of real arguments. Here is part of a chapter by Bertrand Russell:

(3) The instincts and reflexes with which a child is born can be developed by the environment into the most diverse habits, and therefore into the most diverse characters. Most of this happens in very early childhood; consequently it is at this period that we can most hopefully attempt to form character. [1]

When we want to distinguish premises from conclusions it is often easiest to start by looking for the conclusion. What is Russell getting at? What would he want us to take away from this passage? Russell has in fact set out his argument very clearly and he has given us our answer by his use of the word "consequently". Putting it explicitly, his conclusion is that we can most hopefully attempt to form character in very early childhood. (Note that to make it absolutely explicit we had to look back to see what "at this period" referred to.) What reasons does Russell offer? He makes two points. The first is contained in the first sentence: "The instincts and reflexes with which a child is born can be developed by the environment into the most diverse habits, and therefore into the most diverse characters." The second is the claim of the second sentence that most of this environmental moulding happens in very early childhood. These two points join together to support his conclusion. If we want to formulate Russell's argument absolutely explicitly we would have to do a little rewriting, expanding the word "this" a couple of times, but in this case there is very little such manipulation to be done. Regimented in text-book fashion, with premises in a column, followed by the conclusion, Russell's argument might appear thus:

(4) The instincts and reflexes with which a child is born can be developed by the environment into the most diverse habits, and therefore into the most diverse characters.

Most of this development happens in very early childhood.

So, we can most hopefully attempt to form character in very early childhood.

Let us move on to a less straightforward example, taken from Dr. Johnson (with spelling modernized):

(5) Many of the books which now crowd the world, may be justly suspected to be written for the sake of some invisible order of beings, for surely they are of no use to any of the corporeal inhabitants of the world. [2]

This is less straightforward partly because Dr. Johnson does not exactly mean what he says; he is being sarcastic. But let us take him at his word (which is a necessary part of appreciating his sarcasm) and try to sort out his reasoning. We can rephrase his points in the interest of brevity and clarity. What is the conclusion of the literal argument? Many of the books that now crowd the world are written for some invisible order of beings. Why? They are of no use to us. The explicit argument is then:

(6) Many present-day books are of no use to us.

So, those books are written for some invisible beings.

Note that in Johnson's argument the conclusion comes first. He begins with what he is getting at, and then tells us why we should accept it. Notice also that he indicates the conclusion by using the phrase "may be justly suspected to be" which I have changed to "are". This phrase is really part of the scaffolding of the argument and is not really part of the content of the conclusion itself; it is Johnson's way of telling us that we may reasonably move from the fact that many books are of no use to us to the conclusion that they are written for an invisible order of beings. In less literary English there are other words, e.g. "must", which often play a similar role. Just now I could well have said "the conclusion that they must be written for an invisible order of beings". But really the "must" is not a part of what is concluded; it indicates that it is the conclusion.

In general it is worth noting explicitly that you will often be able to rephrase and usually simplify what a person writes. But be careful; some apparently minor parts of what is written can be of the utmost significance.

In looking at our examples I have relied on your ability to recognize the major components of each piece of reasoning. In learning how to describe arguments you must be able to do this well, so it might be useful to stand back to see how you do it, or at least how you might go about doing it when the going gets rougher. What we need to know is how to pick out the various statements that make up an argument. The first step is easy, at least if you have to contend with a written argument: pick out the sentences. But several of the examples we have already looked at show you that you will often need to do more, since sometimes (as with (2) and (5)) what is grammatically one sentence may contain a whole argument and in many other cases what is grammatically one sentence will contain more than one of the component parts of an argument (as with the second sentence of (3)). The second step is then to pick out some of what in grammar are known as the clauses in each sentence. Very roughly this is a matter of picking out finite (inflected) verbs; each such verb belongs to a different clause. So if we are faced with the sentence "OPEC is in disarray, so oil prices will fall" we can find two finite verbs, "is" and "will" (or "will fall" if you want to include the whole of the verbal phrase). The first gives you one component, "OPEC is in disarray," the second the other, "Oil prices will fall." Note that equally helpful in parcelling out the sentence are the conjunction "so" and the punctuation mark.

Unfortunately when you start looking at what you have been doing without a care in the world, it often turns out to be frightfully complicated. It is in this case. I said the second step is to pick out some of the clauses in each sentence, because we have been ignoring some of them in our preceding discussions. Look, for instance, at the second sentence of (3). Here we find three finite verbs, "happens", "is", and "can...(attempt)", but we only counted two important components. In this case we ignored the way Russell had focussed on the period of time and rewrote it making "can attempt" the only finite verb in the conclusion. Once again our division of the sentence is supported by the punctuation and the conjunction "consequently". Nor have we made any separate mention of clauses which simply describe things talked about in other clauses, such as "with which a child is born" in (3), or "which now crowd the world" in (5). (But note that in one case we kept the clause in our reformulation while leaving it out in the other, though Johnson's clause certainly contributes to what he says, but not to the content of the reasoning contained therein.)

I have already alluded to another kind of complexity in the analysis of the sentences used to convey an argument when we looked at Johnson's phrase "may be justly suspected to be". To connect this to our suggested second step of counting clauses, let us suppose Johnson had written "We may suspect that many books have been written..."; here we would count two finite verbs, "may (suspect)" and "have (been written)" but I have suggested that we ignore the first as merely an ornamental comment on the content of the second, which is the real meat of the argument. Sometimes similar comments are more important and should not be ignored in reformulating the argument, as in (2) where "it is likely" makes a difference to the reasoning. (For our purposes we can regard the conclusion of (2) either as "It will rain today" with "It is likely" qualifying the amount of support given that conclusion or as "It is likely that it will rain today", though for other purposes the former approach is preferable. But many such comments will have to be treated in the second way.)

The moral of all this is that we don't have automatic procedures for picking out the crucial parts of an argument. Isolating the clauses can be useful, but don't do it uncritically.

So far I have suggested two steps: pick out the sentences, then pick out their component clauses. We shall see in some later examples that it may be useful to go on even further, in particular to reconstruct some of the clauses that might underlie phrases in your statements. Suppose someone said "The present disarray in OPEC strongly suggests a fall in the price of oil." This has only one finite verb "suggests", but it is arguably a close paraphrase of the reasoning we looked at earlier, so in analysing it we would translate "the present disarray in OPEC", a noun phrase, into the sentence "OPEC is now in disarray", and similarly treat the other noun phrase, "a fall in the price of oil". More generally still, paraphrases in terms of clauses (and clause connectives) can often be illuminating - so one might suggest translating "All bald men are discontented" into something like "If any man is bald then he is discontented."

One last suggestion for sorting out the appropriate components of an argument: look to see whether what you have listed as distinct components cannot be merged, either because they are simply stylistic variants, different ways of saying the same thing, or because one is the opposite of another, i.e. what you have listed as "p" and "q" are really "p" and "not p", to use the conventions we shall adopt. Considering these two possibilities can often do a lot for the clarity of your description of an argument, but be careful! What may seem slight differences may be crucially important, and you need to make sure that you have real opposites - "No men are selfish" is not the opposite of "All men are selfish."

On the basis of examples (3) and (5) we can also see that the two functionally different components of an argument, premises and conclusion, can be arranged in various ways. You can't automatically write down the structurally significant parts of the argument from the sequence of sentences in front of you, just as we have seen the bare sentences do not necessarily yield all the significant statements within the argument. You have to ask: "What is the arguer getting at?" and then "What is she offering in support of this conclusion?" And as we have seen, the order alone can't decide these questions. But we have also seen that some words can act as clues to the answers to these questions. Words like "and so", "consequently", "implies", or "therefore" usually join premises to a conclusion in that order. On the other hand, words like "because", "for", "since", or "may be inferred from the fact that" tend to link a conclusion to its premises in that order. Again we noticed that the conclusion of an argument may be marked by the presence in it of a word like "must". All these clues can help you discover what is going on in any particular argument; but in the final analysis, you have to use your total grasp of the language to arrive at the most likely structure of argument in a passage.

While it's not automatic, I've suggested you use the following strategies to reveal what is going on in an argument:

One thing you will soon realize is that your total grasp of the language often reveals how complicated even the simplest arguments are. For one thing, as we have already noted, an enormous amount is left out - you may well have felt that in both (1) and (5) the arguers were relying on connections that they didn't state. For another, there may be hints of complexities both inside the argument and in its external relations to the rest of what someone is saying. For instance, when we looked at Russell's argument (3), I said nothing about the occurrence of "and therefore" in the middle of what I called the first point. But I went on to say that words like "therefore" usually link premises to conclusions, so you might well ask what it is doing here. If we were to look closely at Russell's argument, I think we could say that what I called the first point itself contains a little argument - from the premise that instincts and reflexes can be developed by the environment into the most diverse habits, to the conclusion that instincts and reflexes can be developed by the environment into the most diverse characters; or perhaps we should say that the people whose habits they are will, therefore, exhibit the most diverse characters. Russell certainly relies on some such connection between habits and character. In the passage I quoted, he may be relying on some earlier, more detailed presentation of this connection; in this argument (3) it is almost a single claim, but for completeness' sake there is nothing to stop us recognizing this complexity in his first premise. We can analyse arguments with different degrees of detail; the appropriate amount depends on our purposes.

A different sort of complexity is displayed by (5), since in its context this is not seriously meant as an argument for the conclusion that many books are written for some invisible order of beings, but simply as an exaggerated way of saying that many books are of no use to us. But if we want to see exactly how Johnson makes his point, then we can isolate it from its context as we did above. But our final verdict on the argument must wait upon our examination of the wider context. I do not apologize for starting with examples that are not completely clear or cut and dried. Just as physical science uses simplifications and idealizations to help us understand the tremendous complexity of the actual world, so we are beginning to use some simple tools for dealing with the tremendous complexity of actual thought and argument. Understanding usually requires simplification.

One simplification, or perhaps regimentation, of actual arguments that we shall adopt has been mentioned already. We shall regard all arguments as made up of statements. Statements are the sorts of thing you use declarative or indicative sentences to express. The test for a declarative or indicative sentence is: can you grammatically put "Is it true that....?" around it? If you can, it is declarative; if you can't, it isn't. So if someone answers a question by saying "Rain" or "Stop asking me such silly questions" he is not using declarative or indicative sentences, so we could not use them, as they stand, as parts of an argument. But if instead he had said "It is raining" or "I wish you would stop asking such silly questions" or "You are to stop asking such silly questions", then he is using declarative sentences, and so, on our terms, making statements that could appear in an argument. These examples may also suggest how many actual cases can be handled to fit our requirement. In particular, facts are often not stated (as in our very first example (1)) - we require them to be set out explicitly; and often the conclusion of an argument or piece of reasoning is a command or an action - we can find ourselves a statement that the action is to be done. (You could handle commands directly, but in this course there is a very great deal we shall have to omit or approximate.)

To sum up what we have covered so far, when we tidy up a piece of reasoning it consists of a sequence of statements, with one or more premises supporting one or, occasionally, more conclusions.

EXERCISE A

(I) Which of the following are indicative or declarative sentences?

1. Can you lend me five dollars?

2. You will lend me five dollars.

3. Cloud, and scattered showers over the hills.

4. If only John would come!

5. If India wins the test in Antigua they will still lose the series.

6. Breaking promises is wrong.

7. I wonder what became of Rimbaud.

[Answers.]

(II) Rewrite the following passages as explicit arguments:

1. The two strongest determinants of completed family size are education and occupation. So, achieving the goal of replacement fertility must encompass improvements in education and increased job opportunities for women to be effective. [3] [Answer.]

2. Time spent on dialogue should not be considered wasted time. It presents problems and criticizes, and in criticizing, gives human beings their place within their own reality as the true transforming Subjects of reality. Even when we regard the work of the agronomist-educator as limited to no more than the teaching of new techniques, there is no comparison between dialogue and anti-dialogue. Any delay caused by dialogue means time saved in firmness, in self-confidence, and confidence in others, which anti-dialogue cannot offer. [4] [Answer.]

3. If the French Revolution were to recur eternally, French historians would be less proud of Robespierre. But because they deal with something that will not return, the bloody years of the Revolution have turned into mere words, theories, and discussions, have become lighter than feathers, frightening no one. [40] [Answer.]

2. THE ELEMENTARY STRUCTURES OF ARGUMENT

Now that we have agreed how to talk about arguments, let us move on to examine how they are constructed. Actual arguments exemplify an unlimited number of structures, shapes, or forms; but all these variations are built up out of a few simple patterns, and it is with these that we shall be concerned. To make life easier, and to save space, we shall use some simple notation: little letters, a, b, c,... to stand for the statements that make up the premises and conclusion, and an arrow --->, to stand for the support the premises are meant to give the conclusion. It doesn't matter which little letters we use, just so long as in each argument the same little letter means the same statement each time. We shall also allow ourselves to write "not a" for the statement that is the opposite of "a". We shall occasionally modify our simple little letters by other words such as "never" and "it is possible that" to convey meanings that should be obvious from the context. We shall also use brackets and asterisks to help make the structure clearer. When we draw a picture of an argument using our little letters (with their interpretation) and arrows, we shall call it a labelled structure diagram.

To illustrate our way of displaying the structure of an argument, consider the following piece of reasoning:

(7) Mary must be at home because there's a light in the kitchen.

The premise here is "There's a light in the kitchen" which we can symbolize "a", the conclusion is "Mary is at home" (note again our change of "must be" to "is") which we'll write "b". So the labelled structure diagram for example (7) is:

(8) a = There's a light in the kitchen.

b = Mary is at home.

a -----> b

That is an example of the simplest structure of all: one premise supporting a conclusion.

Not merely is it simple, it is not very persuasive. Suppose the arguer offers an expanded version:

(9) Mary must be at home because there's a light in the kitchen and she never leaves the kitchen light on when she goes out.

This time we have a third statement, which we can label "c", "Mary never leaves the kitchen light on when she goes out." What is this extra statement doing? Surely, it is working with the statement we have labelled "a" to support the conclusion; it's joining together with the statement "a" to help reach the conclusion. We need to show the way "c" is joined to "a"; to do this we shall use brackets, as in diagram (10):

(10) a )

) -------> b

c )

Here you can see that "a" and "c" are joined by the brackets, and the arrow goes from the bracketed pair of statements to the conclusion, telling us that the two premises together support the conclusion.

Suppose instead of (9) the arguer had offered a differently expanded version:

(11) Mary must be at home because there's a light in the kitchen and her car's in the garage.

This time our new statement is "Mary's car is in the garage" which we shall label "d". Do you notice any important difference in the way they contribute to the argument between "c" in (9) and "d" in (11)? What I think is important is that in (9) "c" only contributes in conjunction with "a" whereas in (11) "d" makes its contribution quite independently. The statement "d" could stand alone as a reason for "b", and in terms of the argument structure it does stand alone. What (11) offers are in fact two separate arguments for the conclusion, and so we show that in our diagram:

(12) a ---\

\--- >

b

/--- >

d ---/

We don't bracket the premises this time, but instead we have two arrows to show two separate lines of support. (They are meant to be straight just as in (10) but running diagonally to "b".)

Let us see this distinction in a couple of real arguments. Consider this:

(13) Most of the rocks at the surface in the southern Appalachians are highly deformed metamorphic ones. Furthermore, they are older than or contemporaneous with the horizontal sedimentary strata that were discovered under them. This fact suggests that roughly 475 million years ago the surface rocks began to be transported as a thin sheet for at least 260 kilometers over the eastern continental margin of the land mass that was to become North America. [5]

There's a lot of information here, but see if you can come up with anything like the following analysis:

(14) a = Most of the rocks at the surface in the southern Appalachians are highly deformed metamorphic rocks.

b = The rocks at the surface in the southern Appalachians are older than or contemporaneous with the horizontal sedimentary strata under them.

c = Roughly 475 million years ago the surface rocks began to be transported as a thin sheet for at least 260 kilometers over the eastern continental margin of the land mass that was to become North America.

a )

) -----> c

b )

What does this pattern indicate? As in (10) the important point is that in such an argument it is the premises taken together that support the conclusion. I don't know any geology, but I take it that the mere fact that surface rocks are highly deformed metamorphic ones doesn't give you any reason to think that they have been transported over some other strata; nor, perhaps, does the simple fact that the surface strata are older or contemporaneous with strata below them. But the claim is that taken together (and note that this is not quite what the author says) these two facts do support the conclusion given.

Now consider the following argument:

(15) The clerk is a nobody, not merely because he is not a scientist, but also because in the developed societies everyone is now a clerk. [6]

I think that here we are being offered two separate reasons for the conclusion, so the structure diagram needs two arrows, thus:

(16) a = The clerk is a nobody.

b = The clerk is not a scientist.

c = In the developed societies everyone is now a clerk.

b ---\

\---->

a

/---->

c ---/

This diagram tells us that each premise supports the conclusion independently; the author is offering us two independent reasons for thinking that, in developed societies, being literate (and a student of the "humanities") is of no worth.

Before moving on, let us note that there is no magic in the number two. The patterns would be relevantly the same, however many premises were added: someone might offer us more independent reasons for the insignificance of humane studies, or the geologists might require additional pieces of evidence to produce a good case for their conclusion about the Appalachians.

Patterns (10) and (12) are importantly different. Why? Remember the point of arguments. They are meant to give you good reasons for a conclusion; and good reasons need to be true or acceptable. As we shall see in more detail later, if you want to challenge an argument there are two different things you can do: you can argue that really these premises do not support this conclusion, or you can attack the premises by arguing that they are mistaken, false, or otherwise unacceptable. Now if you choose this second strategy, it matters a lot whether you are confronting a pattern (10) argument or a pattern (12) one. If the argument is pattern (10), then, as we have seen, it needs all the premises together to reach its conclusion. If any of the premises give way, support for the conclusion falls. So with pattern (10) you need only rebut one of the premises to undermine the argument. Suppose you were able to show that the arguer was mistaking the light in the hall for the kitchen light or, in (14), that the geologists had got the surface rocks wrong, then you can ignore claims about Mary's never leaving the kitchen light on or the relative ages of rock strata. These claims may be true, but they no longer help the argument. Equally, of course, you could focus on these claims and rebut them - if the top strata are not older or contemporaneous with the lower strata then the argument in (13) fails, whether or not the top strata are highly deformed metamorphic rocks. Pattern (10) arguments are vulnerable at each premise.

But now consider pattern (12). Here the conclusion is supported independently by each premise. So to undermine this sort of argument you would have to knock out every independent premise. Knocking one of them out merely removes that support for the conclusion; but there are still the others, independently supporting the conclusion. To deprive the conclusion of all the support offered by the argument you have to knock out all the premises. You can in fact say that pattern (12) consists really of two separate arguments for the conclusion rolled into one.

(And analogously, when you have an argument with more than one conclusion you could see it as really several arguments with the same premises leading to each of the different conclusions.)

We have trespassed into the question of how to evaluate an argument, of how to reply to it, when our present job is simply to learn how to describe what is going on. But I wanted you to see that the subtleties of our descriptions have a useful point. It matters whether an arguer is asserting that all these premises together yield a conclusion, or whether she is saying that each one on its own can do the job.

Two final comments before we move on. The distinction between pattern (10) and pattern (12) is very close to the distinction between the words "and" and "or". In pattern (10) we have a structure in which premise 1 and premise 2 support the conclusion, while in pattern (12) we could say that premise 1 or premise 2 support the conclusion, leaving it open that they both do. So one might paraphrase (15) as "if the clerk is not a scientist or if everyone is a clerk then the clerk is a nobody", whereas paraphrasing (13) in a similar way you would have to join the conditions with "and".

The second point is that it is not always clear what an arguer intends. When you diagram an argument you may have to clarify, not merely describe, what the arguer has put forward. In general, when it is not clear what was intended it is best to ask yourself what is the more plausible structure and so give the most charitable interpretation to your author's text.

So far we have looked at the simplest structures which involve only some premises and a conclusion. But arguments in real life often involve what I shall call intermediate steps, conclusions reached on the way to the main conclusion, stepping stones to the final conclusion. We have already met an example of this sort in the argument from Russell (3), where a premise about diverse characters was itself derived from a claim about diverse habits. Here is another example, with several small steps to its conclusion:

(17) The course of human history is strongly influenced by the growth of human knowledge. We cannot predict, by rational or scientific methods, the future growth of our scientific knowledge. We cannot, therefore, predict the future course of human history. This means that we must reject the possibility of a theoretical history; that is to say, of a historical social science that would correspond to theoretical physics. There can be no scientific theory of historical development serving as a basis for historical prediction. The fundamental aim of historicist methods is therefore misconceived; and historicism collapses. [7]

Here, I suggest, we may discern at least the following structure (check to see whether you understand and agree with the simplifications I have made):

(18) a = The course of human history is strongly influenced by the growth of human knowledge.

b = We cannot predict, by rational or scientific methods, the future growth of our scientific knowledge.

c = We cannot predict the future course of human history.

d = There can be no scientific theory of historical development.

e = Historicism collapses.

a )

) --> c --> d --> e

b )

Whether or not there is more to this argument, it certainly involves the passage through intermediate conclusions from what I have called "c" to "e".

Real arguments are full of items that are strictly speaking irrelevant to the bare bones of the reasoning. The arguer may repeat herself or give further illustrations or analogies that are not intended to do much for the final conclusion. She may bring in other issues. But some of the items that occur in the middle of an argument do play genuine roles. We have already met intermediate steps; we can also find additional premises that are invoked as the argument moves towards its final conclusion. Let us look at this imaginary argument (due to J.L. Mackie) to illustrate both intermediate steps and the appeal to additional premises:

(19) A witness claims to have seen Smith at the scene of the crime near the time it was committed, and Smith has no alibi, so we can take it that he was there then; an innocent man would not lie about where he was, but Smith denied being there at the time; so Smith must be guilty.

As the following structure diagram shows, we first have an argument to the intermediate conclusion that Smith was at the scene of the crime; to this we add the new premises about Smith's denying having been there, and the behaviour of innocent people, to conclude that Smith is guilty:

(20) a = A witness claims to have seen Smith at the scene of the crime near the time it was committed.

b = Smith has no alibi.

c = Smith was at the scene of the crime.

d = An innocent man would not lie about where he was.

e = Smith denied being at the scene of the crime.

f = Smith is guilty.


a )

) ---> c )

b ) )

d ) ---> f

)

e )

I have said that in real life we tend to clutter up our arguments with unnecessary matter. The opposite happens as well: we leave out crucial parts of the argument and we expect our hearers or readers to be able to supply them, or at least to be able to appreciate the force of the argument, which depends upon the unstated parts just as much as it does upon those that actually get expressed. Look at (19) again. You might find something like it in a court of law, but it wouldn't do in "Perry Mason". In a television series perhaps the lawyer would say no more than:

(21) A witness claims to have seen Smith at the scene of the crime, and he has no alibi. Would an innocent man have lied about where he was?

All that is explicitly stated is what I called "a" and "b". The intermediate conclusion and the additional premises are all squashed up into the rhetorical question, "Would an innocent man have lied about where he was?", and the final and major conclusion is left unstated.

Filling these gaps is a difficult but important job; we shall come back to it later. For the present, it is worth noting that in real life arguments must often be reconstructed, rather than simply diagrammed, as we have been doing. But to build up your confidence for tackling any sort of argument, you will only need to rephrase the examples in Exercise B to get a reasonable structure diagram.

EXERCISE B

(I) Look back at example (16); would it have made any difference if I had drawn the structure diagram like this?

a = The clerk is a nobody.

b = The clerk is a scientist.

c = In the developed societies everyone is now a clerk.

not b --\

\---->

a

/---->

c --/

[Answer.]

(II) Draw a labelled structure diagram for each of the following arguments:

1. Cast thy bread upon the waters: for thou shalt find it after many days. [41] [Answer.]

2. Another argument for determinism about actions is that all physical states and events are causally determined, including states of the brain, that brain states are correlated with mental states in such a way that, given a certain brain state, just such a mental state must occur, and that actions are causally determined by mental states. [8] [Answer.]

3. The classical spirit belongs to all eras and all countries, because it is the cult of pure Reason, of the disinterested search for Beauty. [42] [Answer.]

4. Theory and practice need not be separated completely from one another. Theory, therefore, need not be impractical. One of the criteria of a good theory is that it is capable of being tested, and thereby supported or discredited. The theory that has been supported by strong evidence may then become of practical value in a variety of situations. [9] [Answer.]

5. In any case there is no lack of evidence of the increase in road traffic in the Balkans. To take Ragusa, commercial papers for 1590-1591 on the eve of Spalato's rise to fortune reveal the extent of her traffic with the interior; as does the construction of a new bazaar near the town for Turkish merchants. In 1628 a more spacious quarantine building was set up at the end of the port. This detail, insignificant in itself, suggests, when taken together with others, that these overland communications must have eliminated or at least reduced the halts in Syria and Egypt and the long sea voyages from the East to Italy; they furthered the movement westwards of merchants and merchandise from the Levant. The Fontico dei Turchi in Venice at San Giovanni Decolato dated from 1621. Ragusa also witnessed the arrival of large numbers of Jewish and Turkish merchants. [10] [Answer.]

6. Death be not proud, though some have called thee
Mighty and dreadful, for, thou art not so,
For, those, whom thou think'st, thou does overthrow,
Die not, poor death, nor yet can'st thou kill me;
From rest and sleep, which but thy pictures be,
Much pleasure, then from thee, much more must flow,
And soonest our best men with thee do go,
Rest of their bones, and soul's delivery. [11] [Answer.]

3. INTERLUDE - CONFRONTING ARGUMENTS

We are looking at arguments, or in other words, at reasoning offered for a conclusion or proposal. Our aim is to be able to handle such things better, and that is largely a matter of being able to judge whether they are good or bad arguments. To begin with, we are looking at ways of describing arguments, but the point of it all is that we should eventually be able to evaluate them. While we shall fill in some details later, it is worthwhile noting some very basic points about criticizing arguments early on.

I said in the previous section that an argument has three things: premises, conclusions, and the link between them. My premise might be that there is a light on in the kitchen, my conclusion that Mary is at home, and my argument supposes there is some connection between the premise and the conclusion, the premise is supposed to support the conclusion. In another context, I might conclude that we shouldn't take any drink to the picnic and my reason might be that Graham said he would bring a crate of beer; again I would be supposing that my reason did support my conclusion somehow.

Now given that there are these three components in any argument, any or all of them can go wrong. The premises may be wrong - false or otherwise unacceptable; the conclusion may be wrong in the same ways; and finally the premises may not support the conclusion. As we shall see, this last possibility is itself somewhat complicated - what appears to the ordinary person as premises supporting a conclusion is an amalgam of at least two different issues: the detailed structure of the argument, and the truth or falsehood of its component statements. But for the present, we need only note that it is a separate question whether the premises do support the conclusion - separate, that is, from whether the premises and the conclusion are true or acceptable.

A further important issue is that being supported by an argument is not the same as being true. My argument for Mary being at home might be awfully bad - my premise might not support that conclusion at all - and yet it might be true that Mary is at home. You may be able to rebut my argument for the claim, but that doesn't amount to showing that the claim is false. Again, in general, my argument might be a good one - it might support the conclusion - and yet that conclusion may be false, either because my premises turn out to be mistaken themselves or because they are not quite good enough.

So when an arguer offers you "reason-therefore-conclusion" you can object to any of the three. But note that there is a difference between your mere counter-assertion and your producing an argument of your own to defend what you are saying. People too easily confuse denying what someone has said (i.e. just saying the opposite) and refuting what they have said (i.e. showing by argument that the opposite is true). Serious and constructive criticism of what someone has said involves several moves, in particular, it involves pointing out where the person's argument has gone wrong, showing where necessary that this is the case, and indicating reasons for some other position. Merely asserting that someone is wrong, without doing these other things, is often of little use in arriving at the truth or at sensible decisions.


Suggested Answers to Exercises

A. I. You have to decide whether the sentences are declarative, that is, can you grammatically wrap "Is it true that...?" around each of them. The answer should be obvious.

1. No. It is already a question.

2. Declarative.

3. No. It lacks a finite verb. If you add something like "There will be" in front of it, it becomes a declarative sentence, but as it stands it isn't.

4. No. It may mean pretty much the same as "I wish John would come" which is a declarative sentence, but again, as it stands, it isn't one.

5. Declarative. I shall later (in Section 4) be suggesting a way of handling such sentences that treats them differently, but as they stand they are declarative.

6. Declarative. Whatever you might think about the status of such evaluations, the form in which they are standardly expressed in English is that of a declarative sentence.

7. Declarative. It may only be a stylistic variant for asking the question "What became of Rimbaud?" which is not a declarative sentence, but as it stands it is one.

One point to note is that we can often find almost equivalent sentences one of which is declarative the other not. The other way of seeing this point is that some rather subtle grammatical differences are very important for logical analysis.


II. You are asked to tidy up the passages so the arguments are clearly revealed.

1. At one level of analysis you hardly need to rewrite this argument. Its premise is the first sentence, its conclusion everything in the second sentence after the "so". But the second sentence is obviously rather complicated and it tells us what we must do, if we want to achieve something; I would suggest rewriting the argument to bring this out:

The two strongest determinants of completed family size are education and occupation;

so,

if you want to achieve replacement fertility, you must improve education and increase job opportunities for women.

It may be that instead of "if" we should write "given that" since the author may be accepting that we already have the aim of achieving replacement fertility - the main thing is to see how the second sentence can be broken up into two separate claims.

2. This passage is somewhat more involved. Its main contention, however, is stated first (time spent on dialogue is not wasted time), and reiterated later in different terms (there is no comparison between dialogue and anti-dialogue). It may be easier to see the passage as containing two arguments to these differently stated but basically identical conclusions:

Dialogue presents problems and criticizes; in criticizing, dialogue gives human beings their place within their own reality as the true transforming Subjects of reality;

so,

time spent on dialogue is not wasted time.

This is then followed by explicit consideration of the stock response (dialogue doesn't give you time to teach the syllabus):

Suppose you only want to teach new techniques; any delay caused by dialogue means time saved in firmness, in self-confidence, and confidence in others;

so,

time spent on dialogue is not wasted time.

(I have here rewritten the supposition very considerably.) Notice that I have changed "should not be considered" to "is not" - this is just like the change in Dr. Johnson's passage. Perhaps as a way of exalting in our self-consciousness we very often make points in a way which talks about the point (what has been called "meta-communication") rather than simply making it. Here the literal conclusion is that we should not consider that time spent on dialogue is wasted time, but the point is not really about what we should think but rather about the truth about dialogue. This is one very common example of how we can ignore some of the clauses in a passage when we wish to uncover its line of argument.

Later in the course (Section 5) I shall suggest a way of looking at some arguments whereby you could analyse this passage as itself an implicit dialogue (I have almost presented it that way already). The first part remains as it is; you then imagine an anti-dialogue objector replying that dialogue delays the teaching of techniques so that it is a waste of time; then the author replies that it may delay the teaching of techniques but it makes up by giving confidence etc. so that it is not wasted time.

3. Here we have an argument in a work of literature; my rewrite will ignore the niceties of expression. The basic line of argument is:

If the French Revolution were to recur eternally, French historians would be less proud of Robespierre.

The Revolution does not recur.

so,

It is no longer frightening.

To illustrate the point in the text about merging separate statements, you can see that "French historians would be less proud of Robespierre" actually amounts, for the argument, to "The French Revolution would be frightening," a denial of the argument's conclusion. So underlying the various sentences there are only two statements and their negations.

EXERCISE B

I. No, it wouldn't make any difference. If "b" stands for "The clerk is a scientist" then "not b" stands for "The clerk is not a scientist", and it doesn't matter what letter we use for each sentence. Notice, however, that just putting "not" in front of a little letter standing for a sentence is a much less complicated procedure than that used in English to negate a sentence, so sometimes you will have to be careful in moving from one to the other.

II. 1. Here the conclusion is an instruction to do something, which we must rewrite as an indicative sentence. Notice that the word "for" tells you which part is premise and which conclusion.

a = You should cast your bread upon the waters.

b = You will find your bread after many days.

b -----------> a

Since the passage is not meant to be taken literally you may, if you wish, paraphrase its components to indicate what you take them actually to be conveying; but it may be better to leave such questions of interpretation for a later stage of dealing with a piece of reasoning.

2. Note here that the conclusion is named but not explicitly stated (you should make both the premises and conclusion into proper sentences so it becomes "All actions are determined").

a = All actions are determined.

b = All physical states and events, including brain states, are causally determined.

c = Brain states are correlated with mental states in such a way that, given a certain brain state just such a mental state must occur.

d = Actions are causally determined by mental states.


b )

)

c ) ------> a

)

d )

3.

a = The classical spirit belongs to all eras and all countries.

b = The classical spirit is the cult of pure Reason.

c = The classical spirit is the disinterested search for Beauty.


b )

) ------> a

c )

This is an example where it is not clear to me whether we have a pattern 10 or a pattern 12 argument. I have drawn it as pattern 10, since the author might have thought that the cult of pure Reason was identical with the disinterested search for Beauty. You might also have decided to split my "a" into the two claims about all eras and all countries. The original is hardly a piece of reasoning, and this is brought out by the uncertainties about its logical structure.

4.

a = Theory and practice need not be completely separated.

b = Theory need not be impractical.

c = A good theory is capable of being tested.

d = A good theory can be supported or discredited.

e = A well supported theory can be of practical value.


c ---> d )

) ---> a ---> b

e )

5. Here both the conclusion and some of the premises are indicated rather than fully set out, and some are left unmentioned, though we are given to believe the author could quote them if necessary. The passage begins with an intermediate conclusion, that there was an increase in road traffic, gives evidence for this, and then argues that the overland routes furthered the westward movement of merchants and merchandise from the Levant. A structure diagram might look like this:

a = Road traffic increased in the Balkans in the late 16th, early 17th century.

b = Commercial papers for 1590-1591 for Ragusa reveal considerable traffic with the interior.

c = A new bazaar was built in Ragusa for Turkish merchants.

d = In 1628 a larger quarantine building was set up in Ragusa.

e = ?? (unstated claims).

f = These overland routes eliminated or at least reduced the halts in Syria and Egypt and the long sea voyage from the East to Italy.

g = The overland routes furthered the movement westwards of merchants and merchandise from the Levant.

h = The Fontico dei Turchi in Venice dates from 1621.

i = Ragusa witnessed the arrival of large numbers of Jewish and Turkish merchants.



b)

)

c) ---> a)

) )

d) d) ------> f)

) )

e) h) --> g

)

i)

Note here "d" is repeated - it contributes, I suggest, to support the general claim for an increase in road traffic, but it also helps support the further claim that the overland routes speeded up East-West trade. "c" may also be echoing further along the argument - it mentions a bazaar for Turkish merchants and so could help to support "g" (indeed it is very close to "i"). It may well be that the diagram should begin thus:


b -----\

\--->

c ---------> a

/--->

d -----/

since the different pieces of evidence each suggest an increase in road traffic; but "a", "d" and "e" have to be taken together, as the passage makes clear. The same question may arise at the end, with "h" and "i": are these separately supporting the final conclusion, or only together? In fact, "h" and "i" do not so much support "g", as the weaker claim there were more Eastern merchants in the West; "g" says the overland route helped bring this state of affairs about. I think the structure is as I have shown it, but there may be a slight weakness, or hidden complexity, here.

Constructing a structure diagram has made us tighten up this argument somewhat and has forced us to raise questions that may not have occurred to its author of what exactly is supporting what. One last point which might arise from this argument is the relation of causal claims to the structure diagram of an argument. Our author is claiming that it was a causal consequence of the routes' reducing delays in the East and at sea that they furthered the westward movement of merchants etc. We can avoid the grave difficulties of analysing causal claims by noting that often when we claim that A caused B, we may be able to express ourselves in this way: "A, therefore B." When these As and Bs have been tidied up, we can produce an argument structure which mirrors the causal structure, and so we may be able to avoid answering the question whether any particular "therefore" is causal or simply logical. The difference is important in many contexts, but we can perhaps afford to overlook it if we are simply finding a structure diagram.

One last point that often arises in dealing with causal claims, but has a wider application, is that it makes structure diagrams more illuminating to break up complex sentences into their component statements. Suppose someone said "The increase in road traffic led to greater prosperity in Ragusa." This is one declarative sentence and could be diagrammed with just one letter, but I have suggested that such causal claims can be more fruitfully handled by uncovering the simpler sentences hidden within (often by resolving nominalizations back into their original sentences, to use some technical terminology), so "the increase in road traffic" is translated into a sentence, as in the preceding diagram, "Road traffic increased," and the effect likewise is rendered "Ragusa became more prosperous," and finally the link between them is indicated by an arrow.

6. One reason for including this specimen is to remind you that arguments are not only found in prose. There are, I think, two arguments on the surface, one telling death not to be proud, and the other suggesting that death is desirable. While we could preserve the personification, and the imperative mood of the first conclusion, I shall tidy these things up, as I have been asking you to:

a = Death should not be proud.

b = Death is not mighty and dreadful.

c = Death does not overthrow its victims.

d = Death can not kill me.

e = Much pleasure flows from rest and sleep.

f = Rest and sleep are pictures of death.

g = Much more pleasure flows from death.

h = Soonest our best men with death do go,
Rest of their bones, and soul's delivery.
(My edition of the poem suggests that "h" is ambiguous, but it functions as one premise in the argument, and does not need unpacking for our very restricted purpose.)

If we see it as two arguments, the first is:


c )

) --> b --> a

d )

and the second:


e )

) -----\

f ) \-->

g

/-->

h -----/

It should be noted, however, that "g" probably functions as a reason for "c" (or "d" as well) and so the two portions can be put together.

Note that this argument may also be better seen as a genuine dialogue with death, in which death reminds us that some people have called him mighty and dreadful, so that he rightfully boasts of his power. The present tidying up can find nothing to do with the remark that "some have called...thee", whereas this fits into a genuine dialogue. But as I have stressed in the text, analyses can be more or less complete; what I have offered above is there, and is the basic pattern, even if we can dig deeper to find some more complexities.



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